Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match.