Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg

Eupen
2 - 0
Charleroi

Kral (45'), Mohwald (54')
Keita (12'), Paeshuyse (89'), Magnee (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knezevic (26'), Monticelli (76')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 4-1 Eupen
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
EupenDrawCharleroi
29.81% (-0.411 -0.41)23.71% (-0.119 -0.12)46.48% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 59.97% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.323 0.32)41.76% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.325 0.33)64.17% (-0.328 -0.33)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.111 -0.11)26.68% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.144 -0.14)61.94% (0.142 0.14)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.34 0.34)18.2% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.577 0.58)49.21% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 29.81%
    Charleroi 46.48%
    Draw 23.71%
EupenDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 4% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.48%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Eupen
1-2
Charleroi
Boris (42')
Nkuba (55'), Marcq (88')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Charleroi
3-1
Eupen
Zaroury (18'), Bessile (51'), Gholizadeh (90+4')
Andreou (45'), Koffi (90+3')
N'dri (76')
Deom (1')
Dec 19, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Eupen
0-4
Charleroi

Boris (45+1'), Deom (55'), Beck (60'), Agbadou (81')
Gholizadeh (8'), Nicholson (22', 42', 49')
Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Charleroi
3-0
Eupen
Nicholson (78'), Gholizadeh (84'), Van Cleemput (87')

Ngoy (75'), Cools (79'), Kramer (87')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Charleroi
2-3
Eupen
Gholizadeh (32'), Ilaimaharitra (81' pen.)
Kipre (19'), Ilaimaharitra (33'), Teodorczyk (46')
Prevljak (20', 28', 45+1')