Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.