Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg
Westerlo

Eupen
2 - 2
Westerlo

Van Genechten (20', 55')
Nurudeen (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madsen (69' pen.), Stassin (90+1')
Bos (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Westerlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Brugge 7-0 Eupen
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Westerlo

All competitions
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Westerlo
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eupen win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eupen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EupenDrawWesterlo
39.24% (0.291 0.29)24.83% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)35.93% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (0.394 0.39)44.94% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.378 0.38)67.29% (-0.378 -0.38)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (0.322 0.32)22.77% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.53% (0.474 0.47)56.46% (-0.475 -0.48)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.070999999999998 0.07)24.52% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.102 0.1)58.99% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 39.24%
    Westerlo 35.93%
    Draw 24.83%
EupenDrawWesterlo
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.24%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Eupen vs Westerlo

Eupen
13.3%
Draw
26.7%
Westerlo
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Eupen
1-1
Westerlo
Peeters (68' pen.)
Dorgeles (44')
Aug 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Westerlo
0-1
Eupen

Perdichizzi (39'), Akbunar (75')
Nuhu (84')
Peeters (90+2')
Apr 27, 2019 7pm
Europa League Playoffs
Westerlo
1-0
Eupen
Gboho (32')
Ghandri (2')

Bushiri (19'), Mulumba (21'), Molina (45'), Ocansey (61'), Blondelle (68')
Apr 3, 2019 7.30pm
Europa League Playoffs
Eupen
0-3
Westerlo

Molina (68')
Van Eenoo (16' pen.), Biset (32'), Bruls (55')