Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Union SG
25.33% ( -0.44)	23.61% ( -0.21)	51.06% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.48% (

0.57)

44.51% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

0.55)

66.88% (

-0.55)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-0.05)

31.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

-0.05)

67.73% (

0.05)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

0.46)

17.48% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.03% (

0.79)

47.97% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 25.33%

Union SG 51.06%

Draw 23.6%

Charleroi	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 25.33%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.06%