Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.