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UEFA Conference League

Lugano
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Club Brugge

Lugano
1 - 3
Brugge

Vladi (74')
Croci-Torti (43'), Steffen (45'), Hajrizi (56'), Vladi (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Balanta (15'), Skov Olsen (50'), Vanaken (87')
Thiago (27'), Vanaken (46'), Jutlga Blanc (89')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Grasshopper 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 1-0 Brugge
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawClub Brugge
24.46% (0.066999999999997 0.07)22.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)53.04% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 59.47% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (0.059999999999995 0.06)40.33% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (0.063000000000002 0.06)62.71% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)29.82% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (0.10599999999999 0.11)65.9% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 24.46%
    Club Brugge 53.04%
    Draw 22.51%
LuganoDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 24.46%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.1% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 5.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.04%

How you voted: Lugano vs Brugge

Lugano
22.7%
Draw
9.1%
Club Brugge
68.2%
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