Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.