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PAOK
Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Club Brugge

PAOK
0 - 2
Brugge

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between PAOK and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-0 PAOK
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Antwerp
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: PAOK 2-0 Club Brugge (PAOK win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the visitors travel with a slender lead to defend, their squad is badly hit with key men missing at both ends of the pitch. Given those extensive losses, particularly of Club Brugge's two top scorers, we back the Greek outfit to again overturn a deficit and prevail in the Europa Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawClub Brugge
44.32% (-0.92 -0.92) 24.41% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.26% (0.916 0.92)
Both teams to score 58.33% (0.49299999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (0.434 0.43)44.27% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (0.421 0.42)66.65% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.223 -0.22)20.1% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.64% (-0.355 -0.36)52.36% (0.348 0.35)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.813 0.81)26.98% (-0.819 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (1.054 1.05)62.33% (-1.06 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 44.33%
    Club Brugge 31.26%
    Draw 24.41%
PAOKDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.081 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.151 0.15)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.099 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: PAOK vs Brugge

PAOK
71.8%
Draw
12.6%
Club Brugge
15.5%
103
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Brugge
1-0
PAOK
Vetlesen (6')
Thiago (25'), De Cuyper (84'), Brandon (90'), Skoras (90+2')

Samatta (50'), Mechele (89')
rhs 2.0
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