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UEFA Conference League

Dinamo Zagreb
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
PAOK

Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 0
PAOK

Petkovic (37', 71')
Vidovic (47'), Sucic (86'), Zagorac (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozdoyev (62'), Murg (76'), Despodov (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and PAOK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

PAOK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lamia 0-2 PAOK
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawPAOK
41.19% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)25.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)32.95% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (0.023999999999994 0.02)50.06% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94%24.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)58.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)28.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)64.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 41.19%
    PAOK 32.95%
    Draw 25.85%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 9.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs PAOK

Dinamo Zagreb
44.4%
Draw
28.7%
PAOK
26.9%
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