Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Zagreb in this match.