Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Veldin Hodza 10' goal
  • Bruno Bogojevic 17' yellowcard
  • Niko Jankovic 34' goal
  • Lindon Selahi 40' yellowcard
  • Mirko Maric 74' goal
  • yellowcard Ante Erceg 23'
  • yellowcard Lovro Majkic 23'
  • redcard Antonio Mauric 45'

HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2024 4.45pm
Hajduk Split 1 - 2 Rijeka
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2024 4.00pm
Istra 1961 0 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Erceg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 58.16% (-0.98)
Draw 22.15% (+0.42)
NK Istra 1961 19.69% (+0.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 44.48% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-0.97)
Under 3.5 66.85% (+0.97)
Over 4.5 16.9% (-0.71)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+0.72)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 85% (-0.65)
Under 0.5 15% (+0.65)
Over 1.5 56.54% (-1.24)
Under 1.5 43.45% (+1.24)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 63.49% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 36.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.7% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.29% (-0.02)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 58.15%
Draw 22.14%
NK Istra 1961 19.69%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.38% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 58.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.14%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.52% (+0.24)
1-2 @ 5.28% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 2.78% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 1.77% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 19.69%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Luka Hujber 19' yellowcard
  • Dario Maresic 39' yellowcard
  • Frano Mlinar 48' goal
  • Frano Mlinar 90' yellowcard
  • Terrence Douglas 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Niko Jankovic 21'
  • yellowcard Toni Fruk 74'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Franjo Ivanovic 34' goal
  • Lindon Selahi 44' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 45'+1' goal
  • Bruno Goda 58' goal
  • Ivan Smolcic 60' yellowcard
  • Ante Majstorovic 61' goal
  • Alen Grgic 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nebyla 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Calusic 46'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Petrusenko 46'