Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rudes win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.