Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 4.10pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
3 - 0
Rudes

Vujnovic (16'), Blummel (36', 45+3')
Blummel (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Vukmanovic (88')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Rudes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-0 Gorica
Friday, November 10 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Rudes

All competitions
Last Game: Rudes 0-4 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Rudes win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorica would win this match.

Result
GoricaDrawRudes
46.54% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)27.13% (0.159 0.16)26.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.79% (-0.521 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (-0.633 -0.63)57.84% (0.63500000000001 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (-0.501 -0.5)78.57% (0.503 0.5)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)24.86% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.433 -0.43)59.46% (0.434 0.43)
Rudes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.436 -0.44)37.73% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.428 -0.43)74.51% (0.42800000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 46.54%
    Rudes 26.33%
    Draw 27.12%
GoricaDrawRudes
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 26.33%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Rudes
0-2
Gorica

Campos (42'), Petkovic (56'), Ndockyt (56')
Majstorovic (16'), Soldo (24')
Ndockyt (87')