Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Marco Pasalic 7' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 59' yellowcard
  • Lindon Selahi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Mrzljak 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Munksgaard 62'

HNK Rijeka vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 2.00pm
Istra 1961 1 - 1 Rijeka
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 5.10pm
Gorica 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 56.08% (+0.08)
Draw 24.01% (+0.03)
Gorica 19.9% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.51% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.08% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 51.92% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 26.33% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 73.67% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.21% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 87.79% (+0.12)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 81.63% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.37% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 50.51% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 49.49% (+0.09)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 59.43% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 40.57% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 22.83% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 77.17% (+0.20)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 56.08%
Draw 24.01%
Gorica 19.9%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 12.62% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.7% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.01%
Gorica
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.9%