Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
42.36% ( -0.16)	25.39% ( 0.16)	32.25% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.42% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.73% (

-0.71)

48.27% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.58% (

-0.66)

70.42% (

0.66)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.38)

22.69% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-0.57)

56.35% (

0.58)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.35)

28.32% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

-0.45)

64.04% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 42.36%

Hajduk Split 32.25%

Draw 25.39%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25%