Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Niko Jankovic 63' goal
  • yellowcard Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 81'

HNK Rijeka vs Hajduk Split - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 2.15pm
Rudes 1 - 2 Rijeka
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 5.00pm
Hajduk Split 1 - 0 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Marko Livaja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 42.36% (-0.16)
Draw 25.39% (+0.17)
Hajduk Split 32.25% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.42% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.73% (-0.72)
Under 2.5 48.27% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 29.58% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 70.42% (+0.67)
Over 4.5 14.39% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 85.62% (+0.46)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 22.69% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 43.65% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 56.35% (+0.58)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 71.69% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 28.32% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 35.96% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 64.04% (+0.46)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 42.36%
Draw 25.39%
Hajduk Split 32.25%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 9.53% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.07% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.43% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
Hajduk Split
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 8.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Rokas Pukstas 50' goal
  • Marko Livaja 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lepinjica 61'
  • yellowcard Lindon Selahi 64'
  • yellowcard Nais Djouahra 84'