Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Varazdin
68.51% ( 1.56)	18.35% ( -0.53)	13.15% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

0.03)

39.57% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

0.03)

61.92% (

-0.03)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.47% (

0.41)

10.53% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.76% (

0.91)

34.24% (

-0.91)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.29% (

-1.49)

41.71% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.81% (

-1.34)

78.19% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 68.5%

NK Varazdin 13.15%

Draw 18.35%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	NK Varazdin
2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.5%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.35%	0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.5% Total : 13.15%