Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.