Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 at 8.05pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
0 - 1
Istra 1961

Melnjak (41')
Dolcek (84'), Sarlija (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lisica (90+11')
Blagojevic (16'), Mlinar (68'), Erceg (78'), Valincic (90+14')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 1-2 Hajduk Split
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Rudes
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 10.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.6%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Istra 1961
70.77% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.82% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)10.41% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 41.74% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)12.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)38.53% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.71% (-0.07 -0.07)52.29% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.8% (-0.048 -0.05)86.2% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 70.77%
    NK Istra 1961 10.41%
    Draw 18.82%
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Istra 1961
2-0 @ 14.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 13.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.79% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.09% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 70.77%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 18.82%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 10.41%