Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Rudes had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Rudes win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.