Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Gorica	Draw	Hajduk Split
23.28% ( 0.42)	26.4% ( 0.25)	50.31% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 46.08% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.62% (

-0.55)

57.38% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

-0.44)

78.2% (

0.44)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

0.09)

40.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.08)

76.87% (

-0.08)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1% (

-0.53)

22.9% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34% (

-0.79)

56.66% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Gorica 23.29%

Hajduk Split 50.31%

Draw 26.4%

Gorica	Draw	Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.29%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.01% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.31%