Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.