Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Jurica Prsir 64' yellowcard
  • Momcilo Raspopovic 74' yellowcard
  • Dino Stiglec 86' goal
  • Ante Matej Juric 90'+2' goal
  • goal Zvonimir Sarlija 62'
  • yellowcard Zvonimir Sarlija 78'

Gorica vs Hajduk Split - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 6.00pm
Rudes 0 - 2 Gorica
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 8.05pm
Hajduk Split 0 - 1 Istra 1961
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Marko Livaja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Gorica 23.28% (+0.42)
Draw 26.4% (+0.26)
Hajduk Split 50.31% (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.08% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.62% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 57.38% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 21.8% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 78.2% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 9.39% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 90.61% (+0.27)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 59.76% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 40.24% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 23.13% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.87% (-0.09)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 77.1% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 22.9% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 43.34% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 56.66% (+0.79)

Score analysis

Gorica 23.29%
Draw 26.4%
Hajduk Split 50.31%
Gorica
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 5.63% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 3.82% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 1.71% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 9.21% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.4%
Hajduk Split
0-1 @ 13.58% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.31%