Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osijek in this match.