Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA
  • Mijo Caktas 29' goal
  • Mijo Caktas 42' yellowcard
  • Petar Brlek 66' yellowcard

Osijek vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Aug 13, 2023 5.55pm
Istra 1961 4 - 4 Osijek
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Ramon Mierez

Gorica

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Aug 5, 2023 8.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 0 Gorica
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osijek in this match.

Result

Osijek 54.89% (-0.01)
Draw 24.26% (-0.01)
Gorica 20.84% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.14% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 51.79% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.44% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.56% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.28% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.72% (-0.01)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.77% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.83% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.16% (-0.01)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.5% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.8% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Osijek 54.89%
Draw 24.26%
Gorica 20.84%
Osijek
1-0 @ 12.4%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.64%
3-0 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 54.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.26%
Gorica
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.84%