Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
OPEL ARENA

Osijek
1 - 0
Zalaegerszegi TE

Mierez (90+1')
Mierez (50'), Bukvic (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ubochioma (48'), Tajti (53')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Zalaegerszegi TE.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 6-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, July 22 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Zalaegerszegi TE 3-2 AC Milan
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
OsijekDrawZalaegerszegi TE
50.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)23.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14% (0.092999999999996 0.09)43.86% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.093000000000004 0.09)66.24% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (0.046999999999997 0.05)17.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03% (0.086000000000006 0.09)47.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Zalaegerszegi TE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.48% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.051000000000002 0.05)66.69% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 50.41%
    Zalaegerszegi TE 26%
    Draw 23.59%
OsijekDrawZalaegerszegi TE
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 50.41%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26%