Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Kyzyl-Zhar had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Kyzyl-Zhar win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Osijek in this match.