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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadion Karasay

Kyzyl-Zhar
1 - 2
Osijek

Nejasmic (84' og.)
Martins (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Topcagic (58'), Kleinheisler (76')
Bartolec (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Kyzyl-Zhar and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyzyl-Zhar

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Osijek

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Kyzyl-Zhar had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Kyzyl-Zhar win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Osijek in this match.

Result
Kyzyl-ZharDrawOsijek
37.59% (-0.117 -0.12)22.9% (0.027999999999999 0.03)39.51% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 65.75% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.68% (-0.149 -0.15)35.32% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.65% (-0.165 -0.16)57.35% (0.163 0.16)
Kyzyl-Zhar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.121 -0.12)19.35% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.198 -0.2)51.13% (0.197 0.2)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)18.48% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)49.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kyzyl-Zhar 37.59%
    Osijek 39.51%
    Draw 22.9%
Kyzyl-ZharDrawOsijek
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 8.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 39.51%

How you voted: Kyzyl-Zhar vs Osijek

Kyzyl-Zhar
11.1%
Draw
44.4%
Osijek
44.4%
9