UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
0 - 2
Kyzyl-Zhar

(Kyzyl-Zhar win 3-2 on aggregate)

Jurcevic (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ivaniadze (62'), Kone (71')
Lobantsev (83'), Murachev (87')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Kyzyl-Zhar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

Last Game: Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 Osijek
Thursday, July 21 at 1pm in Europa Conference League

Kyzyl-Zhar

Last Game: Kyzyl-Zhar 1-2 Osijek
Thursday, July 21 at 1pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Kyzyl-Zhar had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Kyzyl-Zhar win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Osijek	Draw	Kyzyl-Zhar
47.19% ( 0.04)	24.74% ( -0.02)	28.06% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.56% (

0.05)

47.44% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35% (

0.05)

69.65% (

-0.05)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.84% (

0.04)

20.16% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.55% (

0.06)

52.45% (

-0.07)

Kyzyl-Zhar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

0.01)

30.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

0.01)

67.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Osijek 47.19%

Kyzyl-Zhar 28.06%

Draw 24.74%

Osijek	Draw	Kyzyl-Zhar
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.19%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.06%