Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.