Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.05pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
2 - 2
Osijek

Bubanja (62'), Kulenovic (90+6')
Mersinaj (66'), Kulenovic (75'), Bulatovic (90+2'), Kalaica (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Caktas (31'), Jugovic (90+3')
Pusic (89')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Osijek

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Gorica
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Osijek win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawOsijek
43.74% (0.345 0.34)25.17% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)31.08% (-0.289 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (0.121 0.12)47.74% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (0.113 0.11)69.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.21300000000001 0.21)21.81% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.322 0.32)55.03% (-0.321 -0.32)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)28.82% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.165 -0.16)64.67% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 43.74%
    Osijek 31.08%
    Draw 25.17%
NK LokomotivaDrawOsijek
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.08%