Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.10pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica
Dinamo Zagreb

Gorica
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Vujnovic (70'), Matej Juric (90+2')
Banic (78'), Mrzljak (90'), Matej Juric (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ademi (63')
Vidovic (28'), Ristovski (58'), Madatov (64'), Peric (68'), Kulenovic (80'), Madatov (90+2'), Moharrami (90')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 8 at 4.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawDinamo Zagreb
21.97% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)25.22% (0.137 0.14)52.81% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (-0.548 -0.55)54.28% (0.542 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (-0.461 -0.46)75.68% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.341 -0.34)39.77% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (-0.313 -0.31)76.44% (0.309 0.31)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)20.56% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (-0.415 -0.41)53.08% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 21.97%
    Dinamo Zagreb 52.8%
    Draw 25.22%
GoricaDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.48% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 12.93% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.8%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Dinamo Zagreb
0-0
Gorica
Bernauer (47'), Misic (90+5')
Banic (73'), Valthy Streeker Ndockyt (82'), Maloca (90+5')