Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.05pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Dinamo Zagreb

Osijek
2 - 3
Dinamo Zagreb

Mierez (7'), Bukvic (46')
Bukvic (25'), Tomas (26'), Lovric (36'), Caktas (45+2'), Guedes (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Madatov (70'), Petkovic (87' pen., 90+9' pen.)
Peric (58')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Osijek
Saturday, August 26 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawDinamo Zagreb
37.21% (0.108 0.11)26.26% (-0.26 -0.26)36.52% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.874 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (1.106 1.11)51.3% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (0.959 0.96)73.13% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.586 0.59)26.76% (-0.581 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (0.765 0.77)62.04% (-0.76 -0.76)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (0.619 0.62)27.16% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (0.79799999999999 0.8)62.56% (-0.793 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 37.21%
    Dinamo Zagreb 36.52%
    Draw 26.26%
OsijekDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.21%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 9.47% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 36.52%