Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Kranjceviceva
  • Indrit Tuci 51' goal
  • Mateo Maric 74' yellowcard
  • Moreno Zivkovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tim Matavz 77'
  • yellowcard Dino Stiglec 85'

NK Lokomotiva vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2023 5.00pm
Istra 1961 0 - 4 NK Lokomotiva
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Duje Cop

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 4.00pm
Varazdin 1 - 0 Gorica
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

NK Lokomotiva 42.8% (+0.60)
Draw 26.59% (-0.11)
Gorica 30.61% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.21% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 53.79% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 24.74% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 75.26% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 11.19% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 88.81% (-0.13)

NK Lokomotiva Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 24.9% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 40.48% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 59.52% (-0.58)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 67.79% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 32.21% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 31.3% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 68.71% (+0.26)

Score analysis

NK Lokomotiva 42.8%
Draw 26.59%
Gorica 30.61%
NK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 11.15% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.75% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.59% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.59%
Gorica
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.61%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Jurica Prsir 53' yellowcard
  • Sven Blummel 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Viktor Kanizaj 71'