Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.15pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 0
Istra 1961

Bernauer (15'), Bulat (59'), Perkovic (67')
Perkovic (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maresic (5'), Valincic (19'), Erceg (23'), Petrusenko (43'), Devetak (66')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Dinamo Zagreb and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-4 NK Lokomotiva
Monday, October 2 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 79.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 6.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.89%) and 1-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Istra 1961
79.67% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)13.78% (0.142 0.14)6.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 41.39% (-1.192 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (-1.202 -1.2)39.1% (1.203 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (-1.271 -1.27)61.43% (1.273 1.27)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (-0.274 -0.27)7.8% (0.2749 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.3% (-0.708 -0.71)27.7% (0.709 0.71)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.9% (-1.155 -1.16)55.11% (1.157 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.06% (-0.701 -0.7)87.94% (0.702 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 79.66%
    NK Istra 1961 6.55%
    Draw 13.78%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Istra 1961
2-0 @ 13.98% (0.4 0.4)
3-0 @ 11.89% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 4.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 3.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
6-0 @ 1.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.096 -0.1)
6-1 @ 0.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 79.66%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.48% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 13.78%
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 1.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 6.55%

Head to Head
Jul 29, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Istra 1961
0-3
Dinamo Zagreb

Vuk (59')
Ivanusec (6'), Madatov (57'), Ljubicic (69')