UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
5 - 1
Astana

Petkovic (43' pen., 53' pen.), Bulat (58'), Marin (85'), Halilovic (90+3')
Sutalo (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hovhannisyan (78')
Darboe (42'), Loncar (42'), Amanovic (48'), Haroyan (52')

Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Astana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 3-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, September 16 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

Astana

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Astana
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Osijek	26	3.25	Caktas
2	Rijeka	17	2.43	Jankovic
3	Dinamo Zagreb	12	2.00	Petkovic
4	Varazdin	12	1.71	Brodic
5	Hajduk Split	11	1.57	Livaja
6	Slaven Koprivnica	11	1.22	Crnac
7	NK Lokomotiva	9	1.29	Bubanja
8	Gorica	8	1.14	Ndockyt
9	Istra 1961	8	1.00	Erceg
10	Rudes	5	0.63	Pasaricek

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 67.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Astana
67.38% ( 0.1)	19.91% ( -0.03)	12.7% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

-0.03)

47.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

-0.02)

69.82% (

0.02)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

0.02)

13.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

0.04)

39.86% (

-0.05)

Astana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.49% (

-0.13)

47.5% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.13% (

-0.1)

82.86% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 67.38%

Astana 12.7%

Draw 19.91%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Astana
2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 67.38%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.91%	0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 12.7%