Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 6.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Andelko Herjavec
  • Luka Jelenic 1' yellowcard
  • Igor Postonjski 74' goal
  • Igor Postonjski 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Catala 2'
  • yellowcard Zoran Josipovic 20'
  • yellowcard Dario Maresic 44'
  • yellowcard Slavko Blagojevic 53'

NK Varazdin vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Rijeka 2 - 2 Varazdin
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Fran Brodic

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 8.05pm
Hajduk Split 0 - 1 Istra 1961
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Erceg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.

Result

NK Varazdin 49.47% (-0.59)
Draw 24.9% (+0.22)
NK Istra 1961 25.63% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.76% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.22% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 49.77% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 28.22% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 71.78% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 13.46% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 86.54% (+0.35)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5 79.86% (-0.47)
Under 0.5 20.14% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 47.59% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 52.41% (+0.76)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 66.06% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.94% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.61% (-0.01)

Score analysis

NK Varazdin 49.47%
Draw 24.89%
NK Istra 1961 25.63%
NK Varazdin
1-0 @ 10.95% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.83% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 24.89%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 7.39% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.99% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.63%