Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.