Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.