Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb

Rijeka
2 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb

Selahi (53'), Mitrovic (88')
Pasalic (45'), Ivanovic (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spikic (41'), Peric (81')
Kulenovic (45'), Misic (45'), Ristovski (45+3'), Theophile-Catherine (77'), Ademi (84'), Marin (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between HNK Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Rijeka
Friday, November 3 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawDinamo Zagreb
36.21% (-1.052 -1.05)25.97% (0.639 0.64)37.82% (0.416 0.42)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-2.256 -2.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-2.871 -2.87)50.06% (2.873 2.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-2.613 -2.61)72.03% (2.616 2.62)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-1.93 -1.93)26.75% (1.931 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-2.618 -2.62)62.03% (2.621 2.62)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16% (-1.094 -1.09)25.84% (1.096 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-1.505 -1.51)60.81% (1.509 1.51)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 36.21%
    Dinamo Zagreb 37.82%
    Draw 25.97%
HNK RijekaDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.556 0.56)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.283 -0.28)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.771 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.778 0.78)
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.34 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.82%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 8.05pm
Gameweek 6
Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
Rijeka
Bulat (37'), Petkovic (84' pen.)
Ristovski (60'), Sutalo (88')
Pasalic (89')
Jankovic (32'), Sopic (33'), Hodza (59'), Pasalic (62')