Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 at 4.10pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 1
NK Lokomotiva

Baturina (90+4'), Kaneko (90+7')
Zagorac (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tuci (4')
Bubanja (53'), Cavlina (83')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Plzen
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Varazdin 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Lokomotiva
65.49% (0.261 0.26)20.37% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)14.14% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)46.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)68.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65% (0.10299999999999 0.1)13.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.206 0.21)40.24% (-0.204 -0.2)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (-0.188 -0.19)44.53% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (-0.151 -0.15)80.55% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 65.48%
    NK Lokomotiva 14.14%
    Draw 20.37%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Lokomotiva
2-0 @ 12.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.09% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 65.48%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.14%