Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
0 - 0
NK Lokomotiva


Borsic (12'), Nekic (42'), Postonjski (71'), Banovec (90+1'), Banovec (90+1')
FT

Bubanja (43'), Leovac (74'), Fetai (76'), Feta (76'), Bartolec (85')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 3-2 Varazdin
Friday, October 6 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawNK Lokomotiva
37.02% (0.236 0.24)26.85% (-0.117 -0.12)36.13% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.41% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.48 0.48)53.74% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.403 0.4)75.22% (-0.401 -0.4)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.371 0.37)28.03% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (0.469 0.47)63.68% (-0.468 -0.47)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.16 0.16)28.56% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.2 0.2)64.35% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 37.02%
    NK Lokomotiva 36.13%
    Draw 26.85%
NK VarazdinDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.13%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
NK Lokomotiva
3-3
Varazdin
Kalaica (59'), Stojkovic (71', 79' pen.)
Vranjkovic (89'), Feta (90+2'), Fetai (90+2')
Mitrovski (19'), Brodic (22', 65')
Brodic (41'), Sego (63')