Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
1 - 1
Varazdin

Mierez (54')
Bukvic (61'), Pusic (75'), Manev (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elezi (14')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 0-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, December 20 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-3 Istra 1961
Friday, December 19 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawNK Varazdin
51.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)23.86% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)25.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (0.012999999999998 0.01)45.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (0.012 0.01)68.14% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.015999999999991 0.02)17.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.025999999999996 0.03)48.85% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.24% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.74% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 51.02%
    NK Varazdin 25.11%
    Draw 23.86%
OsijekDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.11%