Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.