Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Andelko Herjavec
  • Luka Jelenic 31' yellowcard
  • Igor Postonjski 34' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Banda 13'
  • yellowcard Marijan Cabraja 42'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Banda 49'
  • goal Luka Skaricic 53' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bruno Goda 76'
  • yellowcard Alen Grgic 90'+1'

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 3.30pm
Hajduk Split 3 - 1 Varazdin
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Fran Brodic

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 6.00pm
Rijeka 2 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.42%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result

NK Varazdin 15.58% (-0.07)
Draw 22.67% (-0.06)
HNK Rijeka 61.75% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.6% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.05% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 52.95% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 25.45% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.55% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 11.65% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.35% (-0.06)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5 53.54% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.46% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 17.93% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 82.07% (+0.03)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 83.3% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 16.7% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 53.41% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 46.59% (-0.15)

Score analysis

NK Varazdin 15.58%
Draw 22.66%
HNK Rijeka 61.74%
NK Varazdin
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 4.08% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.76% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.66%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 13.88% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 12.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.41% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.68% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 61.74%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Niko Jankovic 17' goal
  • Veldin Hodza 21' yellowcard
  • Matej Mitrovic 69' yellowcard
  • Niko Jankovic 77' yellowcard
  • Jorge Obregon 85' goal
  • goal Igor Postonjski 69'
  • goal Fran Brodic 73'
  • redcard Jorgo Pellumbi 83'
  • yellowcard Oliver Zelenika 90'+5'