Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2023 at 1.50pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
0 - 0
Istra 1961


Matej Juric (19'), Mrzljak (34')
FT

Kadusic (90')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-0 Gorica
Saturday, December 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, December 1 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
54.52% (-0.163 -0.16)24.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)21.06% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.17% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)73.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)19.05% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (-0.114 -0.11)50.64% (0.117 0.12)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (0.122 0.12)39.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (0.112 0.11)76.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 54.52%
    NK Istra 1961 21.06%
    Draw 24.41%
GoricaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 54.52%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.06%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
Istra 1961
0-1
Gorica

Hujber (8'), Maresic (79'), Petrusenko (90+5')
Majstorovic (36')
Ndockyt (55'), Matej Juric (78'), Juric (78')