Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.