Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Leon Dajaku 20' goal
  • Mihael Zaper 64' goal
  • Emir Sahiti 69' goal

Hajduk Split vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
Istra 1961 0 - 2 Hajduk Split
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Marko Livaja

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 4.10pm
Gorica 3 - 0 Rudes
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result

Hajduk Split 61.41% (+0.15)
Draw 23.79% (+0.03)
Gorica 14.81% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.07% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.84% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 58.16% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 21.18% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 78.82% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 9.02% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 90.97% (+0.16)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 81.27% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.72% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 49.91% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 50.09% (+0.12)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 49.3% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 50.7% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 14.86% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 85.14% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 61.4%
Draw 23.79%
Gorica 14.81%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 15.9% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 13.32% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.44% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 61.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.49% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 23.79%
Gorica
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 14.81%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Jurica Prsir 64' yellowcard
  • Momcilo Raspopovic 74' yellowcard
  • Dino Stiglec 86' goal
  • Ante Matej Juric 90'+2' goal
  • goal Zvonimir Sarlija 62'
  • yellowcard Zvonimir Sarlija 78'