Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 4
Jan 24, 2024 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Josip Mitrovic 3' goal
  • Josip Mitrovic 7' yellowcard
  • Momcilo Raspopovic 17' yellowcard
  • Ivan Smolcic 25' goal
  • Ante Matej Juric 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Filip Mrzljak 90'+5' redcard
  • Sven Blummel 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zeljko Sopic 8'
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 30'
  • goal Marko Pjaca 35'
  • goal Marko Pjaca 53'
  • goal Niko Galesic 89'
  • yellowcard Bruno Goda 90'+5'

Gorica vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2023 4.00pm
Gorica 1 - 3 Varazdin
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 4.00pm
Rijeka 3 - 0 Rudes
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result

Gorica 19.94% (-0.01)
Draw 23.68% (-0.02)
HNK Rijeka 56.37% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.55% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.43% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.56% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 27.51% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 72.48% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 12.99% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.01% (-0.04)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 60.25% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 39.74% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.58% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.41% (-0.04)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 82.24% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 17.75% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 51.55% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 48.44% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Gorica 19.94%
Draw 23.67%
HNK Rijeka 56.37%
Gorica
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 19.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.67%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 12.19% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.07% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.61% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 56.37%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 13
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Marco Pasalic 7' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 59' yellowcard
  • Lindon Selahi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Mrzljak 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Munksgaard 62'