Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.