Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2023 at 4pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 3
Varazdin

Matavz (80')
Soldo (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sego (59'), Drozdek (72' pen.), Brodic (73')
Pilj (7')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gorica 0-0 Istra 1961
Saturday, December 9 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-2 Osijek
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Varazdin
52.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.7% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.57% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 52.14%
    NK Varazdin 23.44%
    Draw 24.42%
GoricaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.14%
1-1 @ 11.61%
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Varazdin
1-0
Gorica
Postonjski (26' pen.)

Prsir (89')
Jul 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Gorica
1-1
Varazdin
Vujnovic (28')
Soldo (53'), Steenvoorden (77')
Brodic (80')
Jelenic (20'), Elezi (90+3')