Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 18

Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
2 - 2
Osijek

Postonjski (38' pen.), Pilj (69')
Zelenika (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mierez (6'), Bralic (90+2')
Caktas (41'), Duarte (76'), Brlek (90+4')

Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions

Last Game: Istra 1961 2-0 Varazdin
Friday, December 1 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Osijek

All competitions

Last Game: Osijek 0-0 Rijeka
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
NK Varazdin	Draw	Osijek
30.83% ( 0.91)	25.61% ( -0.03)	43.56% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28% (

0.52)

49.72% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

0.47)

71.73% (

-0.46)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01% (

0.9)

29.99% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89% (

1.07)

66.11% (

-1.06)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

-0.19)

22.74% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

-0.28)

56.42% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

NK Varazdin 30.83%

Osijek 43.56%

Draw 25.61%

NK Varazdin	Draw	Osijek
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.83%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.56%