Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2024 at 4.10pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 0
Varazdin

Petkovic (18' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lusavec (62'), Mitrovski (69'), Vukcevic (90')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Rudes
Friday, February 9 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 9.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Varazdin
75.13% (0.51600000000001 0.52)15.24% (-0.263 -0.26)9.63% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.5% (0.47499999999999 0.47)34.49% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.58% (0.533 0.53)56.42% (-0.538 -0.54)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (0.21799999999999 0.22)7.72% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.51% (0.562 0.56)27.49% (-0.565 -0.57)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.59% (-0.175 -0.18)44.4% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (-0.144 -0.14)80.45% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 75.13%
    NK Varazdin 9.63%
    Draw 15.24%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Varazdin
2-0 @ 11.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.6% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 6.15% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.99% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.15% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.56% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.056 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.09% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 75.13%
1-1 @ 7.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 15.24%
1-2 @ 2.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.63%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Varazdin
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Ristovski (54' og.)
Vukcevic (38'), Pilj (68'), Mitrovski (83')
Madatov (90+4')
Theophile-Catherine (44'), Kaneko (71')
Aug 19, 2023 6pm