Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 5
Apr 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 1
Varazdin

Baturina (26'), Vidovic (53')
Perkovic (37'), Ademi (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Drozdek (72')
Lusavec (42'), Borsic (59')
Jelenic (64')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Croatian 1. HNL

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, April 13 at 3.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 83.45%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.41%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.

Result
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Varazdin
83.45% (0.114 0.11)11.41% (-0.173 -0.17)5.14% (0.055899999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.73% (1.237 1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.43% (1.298 1.3)33.56% (-1.303 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.63% (1.47 1.47)55.37% (-1.474 -1.47)
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.13% (0.274 0.27)5.87% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.49% (0.77600000000001 0.78)22.51% (-0.779 -0.78)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.33% (1.185 1.19)55.67% (-1.189 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.72% (0.682 0.68)88.27% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Zagreb 83.44%
    NK Varazdin 5.14%
    Draw 11.41%
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Varazdin
2-0 @ 13.13% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-0 @ 12.41% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.483 -0.48)
4-0 @ 8.8% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 5.16% (0.178 0.18)
5-0 @ 4.99% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.146 0.15)
6-0 @ 2.36% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.105 0.11)
6-1 @ 1.38% (0.091 0.09)
7-0 @ 0.96% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 83.44%
1-1 @ 5.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 11.41%
0-1 @ 1.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 1.59% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 5.14%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 4.10pm
Gameweek 23
Dinamo Zagreb
1-0
Varazdin
Petkovic (18' pen.)

Lusavec (62'), Mitrovski (69'), Vukcevic (90')
Nov 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Varazdin
1-1
Dinamo Zagreb
Ristovski (54' og.)
Vukcevic (38'), Pilj (68'), Mitrovski (83')
Madatov (90+4')
Theophile-Catherine (44'), Kaneko (71')