Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.