Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 3.50pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
1 - 1
Gorica

Les (29' og.)
Soticek (43'), Vranjkovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (73')
Lazarov (64'), Les (75'), Majstorovic (86')
Majstorovic (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, March 29 at 2.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 47%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
47% (0.058 0.06)25.93% (0.038999999999998 0.04)27.07% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.205 -0.2)52.92% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.174 -0.17)74.53% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)22.5% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)56.07% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (-0.185 -0.19)34.45% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.199 -0.2)71.16% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 47%
    Gorica 27.07%
    Draw 25.92%
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.07%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
Gorica
1-2
NK Lokomotiva
Matavz (19')
Raspopovic (42'), Prsir (45+4'), Matej Juric (70'), Maloca (87'), Munksgaard (88')
Mudrazija (15'), Cop (51' pen.)
Cabraja (43'), Kalaica (55'), Huskic (87')
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
NK Lokomotiva
1-1
Gorica
Tuci (51')
Maric (74'), Zivkovic (90')
Matavz (77')
Stiglec (85')
Jul 29, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Gorica
1-0
NK Lokomotiva
Blummel (90+1')
Prsir (53')

Kanizaj (71')