Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Gradski vrt

Osijek
3 - 0
Gorica

Mierez (50'), Pusic (63'), Almasi (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Soldo (47'), Lazarov (84')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Gorica 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, February 11 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
OsijekDrawGorica
59.48% (-0.978 -0.98)23.9% (0.351 0.35)16.62% (0.625 0.62)
Both teams to score 43.32% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.332 -0.33)55.85% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.27 -0.27)76.97% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (-0.482 -0.48)18.57% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.17% (-0.817 -0.82)49.83% (0.815 0.81)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2% (0.636 0.64)46.8% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67% (0.478 0.48)82.33% (-0.48100000000001 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 59.47%
    Gorica 16.62%
    Draw 23.9%
OsijekDrawGorica
1-0 @ 14.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 16.62%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Gorica
3-0
Osijek
Stiglec (45+2'), Soldo (82'), Prsir (87')
Prsir (62')

Jugovic (41'), Omerovic (61'), Bralic (71')
Aug 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Osijek
1-0
Gorica
Caktas (29')
Caktas (42'), Brlek (66')