Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.