Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2024 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gradski vrt
  • Ramon Mierez 50' goal
  • Petar Pusic 63' goal
  • Ladislav Almasi 72' goal
  • yellowcard Marko Soldo 47'
  • yellowcard Andrej Lazarov 84'

Osijek vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Osijek

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2024 2.00pm
Istra 1961 1 - 0 Osijek
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Ramon Mierez

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2024 4.10pm
Gorica 0 - 2 Rijeka
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tim Matavz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result

Osijek 59.48% (-0.20)
Draw 23.9% (+0.04)
Gorica 16.62% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.32% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.15% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 55.85% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.03% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 76.97% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 10.13% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.86% (-0.06)

Osijek Goals

Over 0.5 81.43% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 18.57% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 50.17% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 49.83% (+0.06)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 53.2% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 46.8% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 17.67% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 82.33% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Osijek 59.47%
Draw 23.9%
Gorica 16.62%
Osijek
1-0 @ 14.63% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 12.31% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.35% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 59.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.55% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.9%
Gorica
0-1 @ 6.6% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.22% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.51% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 16.62%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Dino Stiglec 45'+2' goal
  • Jurica Prsir 62' yellowcard
  • Marko Soldo 82' goal
  • Jurica Prsir 87' goal
  • yellowcard Vedran Jugovic 41'
  • yellowcard Nail Omerovic 61'
  • yellowcard Slavko Bralic 71'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT OPEL ARENA
  • Mijo Caktas 29' goal
  • Mijo Caktas 42' yellowcard
  • Petar Brlek 66' yellowcard